We all know it’s coming. Politics has changed, and we aren’t going back to the old norms. We’re all slowly realizing that the familiar political scene is going to look quite different in the future. What’s it going to look like?
The recent purging of the Democrat Party got me to thinking, and a possible scenario has emerged: the Republican Party virtually collapses, a new leftist party emerges (though it isn’t very political powerful), and moderate Republicans defect forming a new, centrist Democrat Party, a Party that becomes the one major political powerhouse.
I sat down yesterday afternoon to doodle it out. A picture is worth a thousand words, and what not, so in this post I’m doing less writing and more coloring.
The Good Ole Days
Recently the Democrat Party underwent a substantial purging of Bernie Sanders supporters, but this purging isn’t entirely surprising, and I think that it represents more than just the latest drama in the Democrat Party’s ongoing conflict between the youthful/radical element of the party (Bernie Sanders) and the liberal old guard. I think this might be the beginning of the major political realignment that we all knew was coming.
First, this is the familiar political scene, as I’ve known it, all of my life:
This first doodle of mine shows politics as we’re used to it, where the moderate factions of both parties dominate public policy. The left and right wings have been largely out of the picture. Kind of like how Bernie spent most of his career in Washington without having any substantial impact on policy.
Most people were happy, or at least happy enough. Of course many still suffered from the typical American way of life: non-white people remained an essentially criminalized element of society (disproportionately imprisoned and systemically discriminated against), women suffered systemic sexism, gay/lesbians weren’t allowed full civil rights (like marriage), and non-humans and the environment have never really been more than a line item on a corporate income statement (mere “resources”) —- but the majority of people in America had plenty of consumer goods and gadgets to keep them happy, so most Americans could remain ignorant and unmoved by those who suffered.
Then things changed.
The Political Parties Break Faith
The moderates were simply not working for the interest of their base, working instead for special interest groups. People turned to the extremists and radicals, and this is the way politics looks right now:
Both parties became corrupted, and legislation is now (quite literally) written by special interest groups. Laws are not based on the will of the people or on how popular legislation is with people, laws are passed based on whether or not there is enough money behind it. (see YouTube vid, below, for an illustration of how politics now works)
Both political parties broke faith with their base, and the people turned to the groups that used to be “extremists” within the party. These used to be the radicals that were marginalized or simply viewed as a nuisance.
All of a sudden, “radicals” like me were in the mix, socialism and activism became trendy. Bernie united the left, and on the right the Cult of Trump actually captured the Presidency.
The Center Holds: A Major Political Realignment
What happens next is anyone’s guess. I have no idea. I’m not making a prediction, only pondering possibilities. But here’s a possibility: Moderate Republicans give up on Trump and defect, en mass, to the Democrat Party.
Here’s one possibility, where centrists and moderates unite:
This would be a MAJOR political realignment, but honestly those of us who follow politics expect that there will be a major political realignment, at some point. We just don’t know what it will be.
The above scenario makes sense to me, and here’s why it’s a very realistic possibility:
- The American public is increasingly scared of Trump and the instability in America.
- The Republican Party can’t get anything done under Trump, and moderates are eager for a change.
- Moderate Republicans (who are used to pulling the strings and calling the shots) are increasingly marginalized. They increasingly despise the radical right-wing and are ready to be done with them.
- In general, the Republican Party has no stability under the increasingly mentally unstable Trump.
- Democrats have publicly purged the party of their radical element and marginalize Bernie Sanders and his supporters.
- Democrat leadership like Chuck Schumer continue to reaffirm their commitment to the wealthy and powerful. (See below)
- Democrats could strike a deal: they could privately make promises of leadership to the most powerful moderate Republicans, if those moderates/centrists defect.
- Democrats could privately promise moderate Republicans that the Democrat Party will be liberal but remained committed to capitalism and to the corporations that benefit the most from capitalism.
Again, I’m no prophet and I make no predictions. It’s just that given the recent purging of the Democrat Party, they are setting themselves up nicely to court moderate Republicans. It’s a bold move by old guard Democrats, but I think they are doing it not merely out of spite for the Berners but because they have a plan to not only hold on to their current power (which has been threatened by the Berners) but to actually expand it.
Schumer Note: Chuck Schumer recently reaffirmed his commitment to the wealthy (“God bless them”), even while slamming the Republican tax budget: “The rich are doing well in America. God bless them, I’m glad they are. And American corporations are recording record high profits—just look at the stock market, which reflects that. God bless them too, we hope they do well. But middle class incomes have not risen with the rise in corporate profits or record levels of wealth concentrated among the wealthiest families.” This is definitely rhetoric that moderate Republicans can get behind. Source: Senate Passes Resolution
Note on how politics and the major political parties were corrupted and broke faith with the American public: